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Stadium and Main: May 2007

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

I already hate the Big Ten Network

I came across some disturbing words from the President of the Big Ten Network, Mark Silverman. He was interviewed by Iowa’s Scout.com website, and he mentioned an example regarding the television coverage of an Iowa game that is (hypothetically) scheduled to be on the Big Ten Network (BTN). Since I’ll use this example throughout the remainder of this post, please read it first, and then see if you agree with my explanation (which could be mistaken, since the quote is a bit confusing, no?):
“As we go forward, every game played in [a Big Ten team’s home stadium] will be owned if you will by ESPN/ABC or the BTN. If that game is aired as a part of the BTN, what I am pledging we will do, is that we will have one BTN game of the week. In addition to those games, we will have a regionalization. Where we can put the Iowa game on in Iowa. If you are not in Iowa, and the game of the week is say, Ohio State-Northwestern, and that is on the BTN, what we are offering to Direct TV, Comcast, Time Warner, Mediacom and everyone, are all of these games. So the BTN primary feed will be the game of the week, but in addition to that, we are making these games available as a part of carrying the network. So the cable provider or satellite operator will have the chance to air all of the games. So there will be a crawl on the main game, saying if you want to view another game, go to this channel.” (emphasis mine)
Umm… OK? So, if OSU-NU is the BTN “game of the week,” that is going to be on the Big Ten Network’s “primary feed” (the BTN channel itself). But if a game like, say, Indiana at Iowa is also being televised by the Big Ten Network at the same time, fans in Iowa (and Indiana, I’m assuming) will also get that game on another, separate channel (or maybe vice versa, the wording is weird). Anyway, fans will get a “crawl” on the bottom of the screen on the BTN, which is just a fancy way of saying that there will be text telling them “Tune to channel X for Indiana at Iowa (or OSU-NU, or whatever)” Thoughts:

- Silverman just confirmed what I had feared. Since the Big Ten Network will have one game of the week, it is my belief that many other games “owned” by the BTN and airing at the same time as the game of the week will be unavailable to fans who happen to live “out of state” or “out of area.” In the example above, Iowa and Indiana fans living in those states will get to see both OSU-NU and Indiana-Iowa. Cool. But outside of those areas? I predict that those folks will only get the game of the week (OSU-NU). As it is restated in a different article, “Silverman said the Big Ten Network will produce a nightly wrap-up show, have the ability to televise multiple games in one time slot and feature school-produced programming” (emphasis mine). The key word here is “ability.” Yes, the BTN will be able to televise many games at once, primarily because they will have lots of cameras and satellites and fancy things like that. But ability isn’t going to cut it, and here’s why: I don’t think that the BTN is going to convince Comcast, for example, to air Indiana-Iowa on a separate channel in its lineup in NYC, Atlanta, LA, or really anywhere else outside of Indiana and Iowa. How is that going to work, logistically? Does the BTN really think Comcast is eager to add an “open” channel that will be used once a week on Saturday afternoons (they might be that delusional, seeing that they want 57% more per subscriber than the NFL gets!)? Is the Big Ten Network going to make deals with cable/satellite companies to preempt programming on already-existing channels (public access, local TV channels, etc.)? I guess it’s possible, but why would a cable/satellite operator outside of the Midwest want to deal with that headache (the administrative costs involved, the angry calls from fans when they mess up, etc.)? I don’t think it’s going to happen.

That’s why I think out of area fans are screwed. The “smaller” programs are going to be hurt the most because the “bigger” programs will likely have a stranglehold on game of the week designations. And the BTN will shrug off any complaints from out of area fans by saying “your cable or satellite provider has the chance (or had the chance) to air all of the games. They chose not to for reasons beyond our control. Don’t blame us, talk to them.”

- This is why the old ESPN GamePlan setup was arguably preferable to the new Big Ten Network setup. In the past, you could see every Big Ten game if you had GamePlan. But now, “regionalized” games on the Big Ten Network will NOT be available on GamePlan (no Big Ten "home" games will. I repeat – No games with a Big Ten "home" team will be on GamePlan, and maybe no Big Ten "road" games, either (“The Gameplan package as you mentioned will no longer have [Big Ten] games,” per Silverman)). In my opinion, this new system could end up being a major disappoinment. Generally, I don’t care much about Wisconsin-Illinois. But if Illinois is down 4 with 2 minutes left, and driving for a game-winning TD, I would like to be able to see that. Now, there will be times when I won’t be able to. Either that, or the Big Ten Network’s primary feed will switch away from its game of the week to show the ending of an exciting game, something that is sure to annoy people one way or another (especially the fans of teams playing in said game of the week). I haven’t even mentioned that while the Big Ten is hyping its HD capabilities, regionalized games (like Indiana-Iowa above) will often not be shown in HD because the game of the week will be occupying the HD channel while the regionalized games will be relegated to standard def. Some people are going to be disappointed.

- A minor (and obvious) nitpick, but the crawl text will be annoying. Just like on ESPN GamePlan when the final quarter of a Michigan game was frequently blessed with “San Diego State at UNLV will be joined on this channel immediately following the conclusion of this game….” It will only affect some viewers and some games, I guess, but it won't just be scrolling in the 4th Quarter - it will be there the whole game (see below for timeslot info).

Other BTN things of note
“The first three weeks [of games] are selected during the summer, then they are done in a six to twelve day advance window.”

“I think most of the games on our network will be the [noon eastern] games. The three primary windows for football games are [noon, 3:30 and 8:00 pm eastern]. Our windows are typically the early window. ABC more often than not will have that [3:30] window, exclusive to them. Then the prime time games, those will be on mostly every week on either ABC/ESPN or BTN. All three could have games going on the same time in that first window.”
These “timeslots” or “windows” or whatever you want to call them are the key. If 3 games get crammed into a noon eastern timeslot on the BTN, and most fans are only getting the primary BTN feed (and thus the game of the week), then lots of fans will miss lots of games.

Conclusion

In short, the BTN probably isn’t going to be all that it’s cracked up to be – at least not yet. Right now they’re talking about how much HD coverage they’re going to have, and how many games they’re going to show. But the bottom line is that is that if you’re a fan, and your team isn’t on your television, you’re going to be upset. And the way things are set up right now, this very well could happen to you this fall.

For months, people like me have been saying that we need to call our cable/satellite operators and get the word out that we want the Big Ten Network. And I still urge you to do so. But considering this “news” from the mouth of the President of the Network, I think that plenty of folks are going to get the shaft even if they do get the Big Ten Network this fall. You heard it here first – Big Ten message boards will be filled with posts like, “I thought the game was on BTN?! Why is MSU-Purdue on?!!!,” or, “It says turn to channel 72 for our game… There’s an INFOMERCIAL on channel 72!! Argh!!”

Don’t say I didn’t warn you.

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Taking Another Look at the Football Schedule

Let’s Start with the Weakest of the Weak

There are 4 teams, in my opinion, to which a loss would be pretty darn embarrassing:

Appalachian State
@ Northwestern
Eastern Michigan
@ Illinois

One thing about the schedule that I really like is that we have only 2 losable road games. And one of those (at MSU) is only losable because it’s a rivalry and it might be a night game. In a rational person’s mind (read: not mine), that’s a highly probable win. Regarding the (very) winnable road games, Illinois has done a good job promoting its program, but excessive amounts of interviews on ESPNews will only get you so far (I’m looking at you, Brady Quinn). The Illini 5th Year Senior class has won 2 (two!) Big Ten games. Things should change some time, but a win over Michigan is a reach. As for Northwestern, they’re still Northwestern. And not 1995 or 1999 Northwestern.

The September Stretch and Beyond

Sept. 8 Oregon
Sept. 15 Notre Dame
Sept. 22 Penn State

Oregon has really jumped to the forefront as a trap game. 2nd game of the season, lots of (potential) playmakers returning for the Ducks’ offense, combined with a bunch of question marks in the Michigan secondary. But plenty of fans remain skeptical of a team that finished the 2006 season with 4 straight losses, scoring only 10 points against both USC and Arizona, and only 8 against BYU in their Bowl game. Myself? I’ll remain worried, as usual. They’ve replaced their Offensive Coordinator, so maybe they’ll be improved or maybe they’ll be working out the kinks. An optimist would say that a loss here doesn’t completely kill our National Title hopes. A pessimist would argue that a loss here could mean a 2-2 or (uh-oh!) 1-3 start, especially if Oregon gives other offenses a blueprint for exploiting our apparent issues on defense.

The Notre Dame game is sandwiched between what some people consider 2 must-win games: Oregon, the first “real” game of the year. And Penn State, the Big Ten opener against a projected Top-4 Big Ten team (or Top-2, if you agree with Kirk Herbstreit, who went on the radio and seemed to predict a 2005-like season for the Wolverines: 1. Wisconsin 2. PSU 3. OSU 4. Michigan). A loss against Oregon kinda makes ND a must-win. A loss to ND kinda makes Penn State a must-win. This sort of domino effect theory is a bit intimidating, but there is definitely one positive: If Michigan can make it through the first four games undefeated, they should coast into November undefeated. When was the last time we could say that? Usually, there’s a team like Iowa waiting to spoil things for us, or at least give us a scare, in October. Not so much this year:

Oct. 6 Eastern Michigan
Oct. 13 Purdue (Homecoming)
Oct. 20 @ Illinois
Oct. 27 Minnesota

November Night Games?

Nov. 3 @ Michigan State
Nov. 10 @ Wisconsin
Nov. 17 Ohio State

Finishing the regular season with these 3 games will be a challenge, especially if ESPN/ABC gets greedy and makes one or both of the road games a nighttime kickoff. Don’t think it’s not possible – they did the same thing with the Minnesota and Penn State back-to-back road games last year. Granted, these games will be in November, but after seeing their ratings go through the roof with various Big Ten night games last season, ESPN/ABC will be chomping at the bit to keep teams like Michigan playing in primetime. The question then becomes, will MSU and Wisconsin risk the general welfare of their students, couches, and campuses for some national exposure? I have a bad feeling that at least one of them will be onboard.

A win at MSU should happen. A win at Wisconsin might happen. A win against Ohio State MUST happen. Not much else needs to be said. One thing I will be interested in is following Wisconsin’s season. In recent years, we have played them much earlier in the fall. This time around, we get to see how they match up against teams like Penn State, Iowa, and Ohio State before they play us. That should give us a better gauge on their talent level (especially at QB, where they finally have to replace John Stocco).

Other Thoughts

- As mentioned earlier, the road slate is fairly weak this year. And another good thing about it is that the road games get progressively tougher. At Northwestern should be a breeze. Heck, sometimes that crowd can seem pro-Michigan, thanks to a strong Chicago alumni base. At Illinois, the team will be weak but the crowd will be a bit stronger. We might even face some noise issues if the Illini are hanging around. At MSU should be much more of a test, for obvious rivalry reasons. And Wisconsin is a road game against a good team with an unrelenting crowd. The buildup from road game 1 to road game 4 might be a blessing. But after all, with a Senior QB, Senior RB, and a fairly experienced OL, you would think that they’ve got this road game thing down pat. Still, I’ll take any help we can get.

- Is it just me, or do we always miss “good” programs when they’re “down?” Iowa falls off the schedule in what should be a rebuilding year (or two) for them. We missed out on PSU when they were stinking up the joint (of course, they haven’t been a problem for us anyway – zing!). Purdue was pretty average the past two years, and we didn’t play them. Chalk it up to general Michigan bad luck.

The Complete Schedule

Sept. 1 Appalachian State
Sept. 8 Oregon
Sept. 15 Notre Dame
Sept. 22 Penn State
Sept. 29 @ Northwestern
Oct. 6 Eastern Michigan
Oct. 13 Purdue (Homecoming)
Oct. 20 @ Illinois
Oct. 27 Minnesota
Nov. 3 @ Michigan State
Nov. 10 @ Wisconsin
Nov. 17 Ohio State


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